Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.260248 0.306026 0.354734 0.410138 0.471137 0.535979 0.609851
2024-10-06 0.208945 0.272871 0.345462 0.432882 0.534204 0.646904 0.780685
2024-10-13 0.161322 0.234331 0.322698 0.434898 0.570979 0.728256 0.921310
2024-10-20 0.126459 0.204390 0.304736 0.438496 0.607338 0.808924 1.063276
2024-10-27 0.103630 0.185483 0.297084 0.452351 0.655078 0.903656 1.224282
2024-11-03 0.086102 0.170390 0.291747 0.467302 0.703439 0.999673 1.388894
2024-11-10 0.071784 0.157133 0.286705 0.481081 0.749658 1.093452 1.552455
2024-11-17 0.055610 0.137364 0.269318 0.475392 0.768462 1.151623 1.671700
2024-11-24 0.045226 0.125115 0.261387 0.481727 0.802755 1.229816 1.817259
2024-12-01 0.034645 0.109739 0.246221 0.475491 0.818268 1.282619 1.930202
2024-12-08 0.024771 0.092674 0.225600 0.458601 0.816811 1.311480 2.011300
2024-12-15 0.020201 0.085988 0.222036 0.467786 0.852905 1.391670 2.161178
2024-12-22 0.014566 0.074673 0.208664 0.460415 0.864705 1.439558 2.270378
2024-12-29 0.012576 0.072651 0.212851 0.482424 0.921448 1.551447 2.468012
2025-01-05 0.009320 0.065189 0.204982 0.483029 0.945060 1.616758 2.603107
2025-01-12 0.006901 0.059053 0.198845 0.485939 0.971957 1.686945 2.745693
2025-01-19 0.005532 0.056082 0.199144 0.500199 1.016964 1.783847 2.926406
2025-01-26 0.004463 0.053660 0.200281 0.515833 1.064334 1.884713 3.113664
2025-02-02 0.003537 0.051184 0.200887 0.530336 1.110070 1.983762 3.299467
2025-02-09 0.002233 0.044909 0.191056 0.524120 1.121391 2.031946 3.414070
2025-02-16 0.001554 0.041560 0.188067 0.530804 1.153986 2.112006 3.574478
2025-02-23 0.000861 0.036270 0.178765 0.524093 1.163578 2.157436 3.685856
2025-03-02 0.000336 0.029853 0.164573 0.506014 1.152754 2.171317 3.751734